Friday, September 23, 2011

Quick hit: magic number 2

So with the Cardinals bullpen meltdown on Thursday the Brewers magic number is down to 2 and would take events of epic proportions to not win the division.

Odds of the Brewers going 0-6 at home at their current .693 record: .000837 or .0837% or roughly 1 out of every 1200 times (and keep in mind the competition is below average so that percentage should probably be even lower)

Odds of the Cardinals going 6-0 at their current .551 (they have 3 at home and 3 on the road and I don't want to get too deep into this so we're going with that) is .027983 or 2.7983% about 1 out of every 37 times.

So your cumulative probability using these numbers is....

.0000234

That's about 1 out of every 42,700 chances

Get the champagne ready kids


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